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有色金属(冶炼部分):2024,(1):143-153
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基于蒙特卡罗模拟的危险废物处置场地下水重金属健康风险评估
(重庆市生态环境监测中心)
Health Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Groundwater of Hazardous Waste Disposal Plant Based on Monte Carlo Simulation
WANG Shenglan1,2, JIANG Yue, MA Jie1,2, WANG Jian, LIU Ping, DENG Li, SUN Jing, GONG Ling
(1.Ecological and Environmental Monitoring Center,Chongqing,401147;2.China)
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投稿时间:2023-08-15     修订日期:2023-08-22     录用日期:2023-08-28     网络发布日期:2023-11-30
中文摘要: 以重庆市危险废物处置场周边地下水为研究对象,测定了As、Cd、Al、Cu、Zn、Hg、Pb、Cr、Ni和Fe金属元素浓度,利用内梅罗指数法和地下水污染物容量评价指数法分析地下水重金属污染水平,并采用蒙特卡罗模拟的健康风险评价模型评估地下水中重金属的人体健康风险。结果表明,研究区地下水8月检出因子多于5月,超标情况主要集中在8月。内梅罗指数和地下水污染物容量指数表明,地下水中各重金属8月污染程度总体高于5月,Al为主要污染元素;5#点位污染程度最高,其他点位无污染。健康风险表明,非致癌健康风险儿童高于成人,非致癌健康风险的主要影响途径为饮用水途径;儿童和成人的致癌健康风险均在可接受范围内,但儿童的致癌健康风险高于成人。敏感性分析表明,非致癌风险中Al、Pb和每日平均饮用量(IR)的敏感度排前三,致癌风险中As的敏感度最高,Al和As是影响人体健康风险的主要因素。
Abstract:The hazardous waste disposal plant in Chongqing was taken as the main research object, and the concentrations of As, Cd, Al, Cu, Zn, Hg, Pb, Cr, Ni and Fe were determined, the Nemerow index and groundwater environmental capacity assessment index were used to analyze the pollution characteristics of heavy metals in groundwater. The health risks of heavy metals in groundwater of the study area are explored using the health risk assessment model by Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that the factors detected in August are more than those in May, and the exceedance is mainly concentrated in August. The Nemerow index and capacity evaluation index show that, the pollution level of heavy metals in groundwater in August is generally higher than that in May, and Al is the main polluting element; The pollution level of 5# site is the highest, and the other sites are pollution-free. The health risks assessment of heavy metals show that, drinking water is the main exposure route to non-carcinogenic health risks, which are higher for children than for adults; The carcinogenic health risks index for both children and adults are within acceptable limits, but the carcinogenic health risks for children is higher than for adults. The sensitivity analysis shows that, the sensitivity of Al, Pb and average daily drinking amount (IR) rank the top three among non-carcinogenic risks, and the sensitivity of As is the highest among carcinogenic risks. In general, Al and As are the main factors affecting human health risks.
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基金项目:重庆市技术预见与制度创新项目(cstc2020jsyj-zzysbAX0084);重庆市科研机构绩效激励引导专项(cstc2021jxjl20015)
引用文本:
王胜蓝,蒋月,马杰,王俭,刘萍,邓力,孙静,龚玲.基于蒙特卡罗模拟的危险废物处置场地下水重金属健康风险评估[J].有色金属(冶炼部分),2024(1):143-153.
WANG Shenglan,JIANG Yue,MA Jie,WANG Jian,LIU Ping,DENG Li,SUN Jing,GONG Ling.Health Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Groundwater of Hazardous Waste Disposal Plant Based on Monte Carlo Simulation[J].Nonferrous Metals (Extractive Metallurgy),2024(1):143-153.

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